On the reality of the conjunction fallacy1
نویسندگان
چکیده
Attributing higher “probability” to a sentence of form p-and-q compared to p is a reasoning fallacy only if (a) the word “probability” carries its modern, technical meaning, and (b) the sentence p is interpreted as a conjunct of the conjunction p-and-q. Legitimate doubts arise about both conditions in classic demonstrations of the conjunction fallacy. We use betting paradigms to reduce these sources of ambiguity about conjunctive reasoning. Reality of the conjunction fallacy 1
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تاریخ انتشار 2001